dangers of digital currency, Reviews

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2024-12-13 04:59:03

Don't think that shipping is a bad word. If you don't speed up the shipment, you can't follow the trend without pulling the board. You have worked hard for one year, waiting for the event-driven east wind, and the fire will burn quickly. This is the enjoyment of "tulip bubble"It's amazing. Remember the picture we drew in the post last week? I didn't wipe it here, so I'll show it to you. Last week, we talked about stepping back to confirm the trend intensity, and touched the horizontal center near 3375 to get a grade 4b. In fact, from our point of view, Thursday was already a short-selling structure with long-term exhaustion. As a result, a positive line was directly repaired, and if it was wrong, it was beaten to attention. You said that the national team didn't know the technology, but he knew the long-short power too well. Let's take a look at the current market in combination with the macro.


Let's talk about the macro, the first is economic transformation, the second is the speed of our debt conversion and an obvious progress, and the other is the increase of gold holdings and our long-term debt and confidence in economic recovery.So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.As you can see, as long as the weight is not hard to pull, the index is a range shock, but the theme is crazy, full of money-making effect and money-losing effect. Slow cattle are a lot of tenbiger stocks, but the Shanghai Stock Exchange may look back and the annual line will rise by about 10%. This is slow cattle.


First, the economic transformation. Let's talk about the debt. In the past, our big bull markets all relied on the mapping of overseas currency issuance. As we said before, whether it was 05 or 15, it was essentially a small basin with a lot of water. The currency overflow caused by the rapid increase of foreign exchange reserves flooded into the stock market, and a crazy bull came quickly, including our institutional blue-chip bull in 1718. In essence, it was the rapid growth of foreign exchange reserves or the superposition of high reserves exceeding m2. Here is a message that everyone needs to pay attention to.It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?

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